Is the U.S and Iran Deceiving Israel?

Is the U.S. and Iran Deceiving Israel? A Strategic Drama Behind the Scenes

In recent years, the geopolitical landscape of the Middle East has witnessed a series of dramatic events involving the United States, Iran, and Israel. While on the surface these events appear confrontational and hostile, a closer look raises a provocative question: Are the United States and Iran jointly deceiving Israel through a choreographed geopolitical performance?

A Pattern of Controlled Escalations

The most recent incidents highlight a pattern that seems more calculated than chaotic. The U.S. claimed to have targeted Iran’s nuclear facilities, yet reports suggest that Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile remained unharmed. Shortly after, Iran launched missile attacks on U.S. bases in Iraq. However, what was peculiar—and revealing—was the fact that U.S. forces had already vacated those bases before the strikes. Furthermore, credible sources reported that Iran had informed the U.S. in advance of the impending attack.

This raises serious questions. In any genuine act of war, such prior communication would be considered absurd. So why would Iran and the U.S. engage in such staged retaliations?

Historical Parallels: A Relationship of Shadow Diplomacy

This isn’t the first time such events have occurred. Consider the 2015 nuclear deal (JCPOA), which was hailed as a diplomatic breakthrough but seen by Israel as a major threat to its security. Despite Israeli protests, the U.S. proceeded with the agreement, easing sanctions and releasing frozen Iranian assets. Although President Trump later withdrew from the deal, many within strategic circles argued that it was more a symbolic move than a total reversal.

Iran, on its part, has continued to present itself as the leader of anti-Israel resistance in the region. However, its actions have rarely translated into meaningful military confrontation with Israel, other than through proxies like Hezbollah. The real battleground has remained more political than physical.

Israel: The Outsider Within the Alliance?

The critical observation is that Israel seems to be the only actor genuinely perceiving an existential threat from Iran, while the U.S. appears to maintain a balancing act. On one hand, Washington reassures Tel Aviv of its unwavering support, yet on the other, it avoids direct escalation with Iran and even engages in backchannel diplomacy.

This duality frustrates Israeli leadership, who often respond with unilateral threats or targeted strikes inside Syria and beyond. The recent normalization deals with Arab nations under the Abraham Accords were also, in part, driven by Israel’s realization that U.S. interests in the region are shifting.

A Deeper Game: Why Would the U.S. and Iran Collaborate?

There are several possible motivations:

1. Preserving the Petrodollar Economy: A chaotic Middle East serves certain long-term strategic interests for the U.S., keeping oil markets volatile and global economies dependent on dollar-based trade.

2. Mutual Leverage: Iran uses controlled tension to justify internal suppression and regional influence, while the U.S. uses it to justify arms sales and maintain its military presence.

3. Keeping Israel Dependent: By keeping Israel in a constant state of strategic insecurity, the U.S. ensures its dependence on American diplomatic and military support, preserving influence over Israeli policies.

Conclusion: The Illusion of Hostility?

While Iran and the U.S. continue to engage in media theatrics, the real loser may be Israel, which finds itself isolated in its perception of Iranian aggression. If the recent events are indeed part of a broader strategy of managed conflict, it reflects a dangerous new form of geopolitical manipulation—one where the illusion of hostility is used to serve deeper, long-term objectives.

This calls for greater scrutiny and independent analysis of such developments rather than blind acceptance of official narratives. The question remains: Is Israel being played—or is it time for Israel to rethink its strategic assumptions?